BIIB Value Scorecard - Biogen

Value Scorecard · run 2026-10-18

13 value checks: 12 scored 1 to 5, plus moat evidence

31/60

low-moderate value score

Earnings & returns

EPS Trend

1/5

Diluted EPS: $20.87 (2022), $7.97 (2023), $11.18 (2024), $8.79 (2025). The latest figure is half the 2022 figure or less; the framework scores that as 1.

ROE Trend

2/5

ROE (net income / common equity): 22.7% (2022), 7.8% (2023), 9.8% (2024), 7.1% (2025). Median 8.8%, lowest 7.1%; the framework scores a median 5-10% as 2.

ROIC

2/5

ROIC of 7.0%: earnings before interest and taxes of $1.82B (pre-tax income $1.56B plus interest expense $267.50M; the 10-K's financial data has no standard operating income figure) divided by $26.09B of capital (total assets $29.44B minus current liabilities $3.35B), fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025, as filed in the 10-K (SEC EDGAR). The framework scores 5-10% as 2.

Profit Margins

3/5

Net margin of 8.3%; the framework scores 5-10% as 3; gross margin 78.3%, operating margin 25.1%.

Balance sheet & cash

Debt-to-Equity

4/5

Debt-to-equity of 0.44; the framework scores 0.3-0.8 as 4 (total debt $8.36B, total cash $1.28B).

Free Cash Flow

4/5

Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditure): $1.14B (2022), $1.24B (2023), $2.52B (2024), $1.97B (2025). It rose every year but one and ended above 2022; the framework scores that as 4.

Retained Earnings

5/5

Retained earnings, as filed in the 10-Ks (SEC EDGAR): $16.47B (2022), $17.63B (2023), $19.26B (2024), $20.55B (2025). It rose every year; the framework scores that as 5.

Valuation models

Graham IV

1/5

IV = EPS x (8.5 + 2g) x (4.4 / Y) = $5.63 x (8.5 + 2 x 5.0) x (4.4 / 4.5) = $101.84. Current price $232.65; price is 128.4% above the model value.

DCF Value

1/5

FCF/share = $8.575, stage 1 growth = 0.3% for 5 years, terminal growth = 3%, discount rate = 10%. Stage 1 PV = $32.78, PV of terminal value = $79.53, DCF value = $112.31. Current price $232.65; price is 107.2% above the model value.

Margin of Safety

1/5

Graham value $101.84 (price is 128.4% above the model value); DCF value $112.31 (price is 107.2% above the model value).

Price-to-Book

3/5

P/B of 1.82; the framework scores 1.5-3.0 as 3.

Business quality

Moat Evidence

Not scored

A moat (a brand, a network, switching costs, patents, scale, a licence) is not a number in the filings, so Valerius doesn’t score it. Below are the figures and the words moat analysis starts from, from the company’s own 10-K filings. The conclusion is yours.

Return on capital, each year

Above 15% in 6 of 10 years (2016-2025); lowest 6.6%, highest 31.5%.

Gross margin, each year

Between 74.2% and 87.1% over 10 years (a range of 12.9 points).

Competition, in the company’s own words · 10-K filed Feb 6, 2026

Competition in the biopharmaceutical industry and the markets in which we operate is intense. There are many companies, including biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies, engaged in developing products for the indications our approved products are approved to treat and the therapeutic areas we are targeting with our research and development activities. Some of our competitors may have substantially greater

The opening of the company’s “COMPETITION” section in its 10-K, quoted word for word, not summarized or edited. It is the company’s own description, not Valerius’s view, and may include the company’s expectations. Open the filing.

Return on capital = operating income / (total assets − current liabilities), the ROIC row’s definition; 15% is the framework’s return threshold. For a year whose 10-K financial data has no standard operating income figure, earnings before interest and taxes (pre-tax income plus interest expense) is used. Gross margin = gross profit / revenue. Both from each year’s 10-K via SEC EDGAR. Moat analysis commonly looks at whether returns and margins held up over many years. These figures don’t say whether the company has an advantage, what it is, or whether it will last.

Capital Allocation

4/5

Capital allocation, 2022-2025: dividends or buybacks paid in 1 of 4 years (fail); $750.00M paid out against $6.86B of free cash flow (pass); total debt $6.61B to $6.58B, down 0.6%, 2.5x EBITDA (pass: not up more than 10%); shares outstanding 0.14B to 0.15B, up 1.9% (pass). 3 of 4 tests passed; the framework scores that as 4.

Filings

Company notices to the SEC

Not scored

Three kinds of event the company reported to the SEC in the last 5 years, from its filings on SEC EDGAR.

These are events the company reported to the SEC. An auditor change or a late filing can have many causes; each date links to the filing, where the company explains it. Valerius does not score these.

How the Graham and DCF values were calculated

  Graham Formula:
    IV = EPS x (8.5 + 2g) x (4.4 / Y)
    EPS = $5.63, g = 5.0%, Y = 4.5
    IV = $101.84
    Current price $232.65 vs Graham value $101.84 — price is 128.4% above the model value.

  DCF:
    FCF/share = $8.575
    Stage 1 growth = 0.3% for 5 years | terminal growth = 3.0% | discount rate = 10.0%
      Y1: $8.601 → PV $7.819
      Y2: $8.627 → PV $7.129
      Y3: $8.652 → PV $6.501
      Y4: $8.678 → PV $5.927
      Y5: $8.704 → PV $5.405
    Stage 1 PV sum = $32.78
    Terminal value at end of Y5 = $128.08
    PV of terminal value = $79.53
    DCF value = $112.31
    Current price $232.65 vs DCF value $112.31 — price is 107.2% above the model value.

Data from yfinance summary figures and financial statements, and from the company’s 10-K filings via SEC EDGAR; computed at a price of $232.65. Every score is calculated from the figures by the framework’s fixed rules, and the explanation beside it is generated from the same figures: Graham value, DCF value, margin of safety, ROIC, profit margins, debt-to-equity, price-to-book, EPS trend, ROE trend, free cash flow, retained earnings and capital allocation. No AI is involved in this scorecard. The moat is shown as evidence, without a score. Read each score with the figures beside it. Intrinsic value calculations are model outputs based on stated assumptions, not predictions.

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