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ValeriusBeta - Not investment advice
Research · S&P 500 · Communication Services
The numbers, the scorecard and what analysts say, with the source for each. Information, not advice.
Price · last 3 months · daily close
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Daily closing prices via yfinance. Quotes are delayed. Past prices are not a guarantee of future results.
Value Scorecard · run 2026-10-18
Earnings & returns
Diluted EPS: $2.33 (2023), $3.13 (2024), $4.91 (2025), $3.84 (2026). It rose every year but one and ended above 2023; the framework scores that as 4.
ROE (net income / common equity): 11.9% (2023), 14.0% (2024), 18.9% (2025), 14.5% (2026). Median 14.3%, lowest 11.9%; the framework scores a median 10-15% as 3.
ROIC of 13.5%: earnings before interest and taxes of $2.68B (pre-tax income $2.28B plus interest expense $401.00M; the 10-K's financial data has no standard operating income figure) divided by $19.82B of capital (total assets $22.48B minus current liabilities $2.67B), fiscal year to Jun 30, 2026, as filed in the 10-K (SEC EDGAR). The framework scores 10-15% as 3.
Net margin of 9.8%; the framework scores 5-10% as 3; gross margin 36.6%, operating margin 25.2%.
Balance sheet & cash
Debt-to-equity of 0.64; the framework scores 0.3-0.8 as 4 (total debt $7.57B, total cash $4.20B).
Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditure): $1.44B (2023), $1.50B (2024), $2.99B (2025), $1.47B (2026). It rose every year but one and ended above 2023; the framework scores that as 4.
Retained earnings, as filed in the 10-Ks (SEC EDGAR): $2.27B (2023), $3.14B (2024), $4.48B (2025), $4.46B (2026). It rose every year but one and ended above 2023; the framework scores that as 4.
Valuation models
IV = EPS x (8.5 + 2g) x (4.4 / Y) = $3.84 x (8.5 + 2 x 10.8) x (4.4 / 4.5) = $113.02. Current price $57.22; price is 49.4% below the model value.
FCF/share = $2.522, stage 1 growth = 10.7% for 5 years, terminal growth = 3%, discount rate = 10%. Stage 1 PV = $12.85, PV of terminal value = $38.30, DCF value = $51.15. Current price $57.22; price is 11.9% above the model value.
Graham value $113.02 (price is 49.4% below the model value); DCF value $51.15 (price is 11.9% above the model value).
P/B of 2.06; the framework scores 1.5-3.0 as 3.
Business quality
A moat (a brand, a network, switching costs, patents, scale, a licence) is not a number in the filings, so Valerius doesn’t score it. Below are the figures and the words moat analysis starts from, from the company’s own 10-K filings. The conclusion is yours.
Return on capital, each year
Above 15% in 3 of 9 years (2018-2026); lowest 9.2%, highest 19.5%.
Gross margin, each year
Not reported: the filings don’t state a gross profit or cost of revenue figure, as is common for oil and gas companies, banks and insurers.
Competition, in the company’s own words · 10-K filed Aug 6, 2026
Premium brands that resonate deeply with viewers. Under the FOX banner, we produce and distribute content through some of the world’s leading and most valued brands. Our long track record of challenging the status quo emboldens us to continue making innovative decisions, disrupting norms and forming deeper relationships with audiences. FOX News Media is among the most influential and recognized news brands in the world. FOX Sports has earned a reputation for bold sports programming and, with its availability in virtually every U.S. market, is a leading destination for live sports events and sports commentary. Tubi, our leading AVOD service, attracts a young, multicultural and highly engaged audience to its content library of over 350,000 movies and television episodes. FOX Entertainment is renowned for its compelling primetime entertainment, including scripted dramas, leading unscripted programming and its longstanding Sunday animation block. These brands and others in our portfolio, such as our 29 owned and operated local television stations, including 18 broadcasting under the FOX brand, hold cultural significance with consumers and commercial importance for distributors and advertisers. The quality of our programming and the strength of our brands maximize the value of our content through a combination of affiliate fees and advertising sales. Leadership positions across strategically significant programming platforms.
The opening of the company’s “Our Competitive Strengths” section in its 10-K, quoted word for word, not summarized or edited. It is the company’s own description, not Valerius’s view, and may include the company’s expectations. Open the filing.
Return on capital = operating income / (total assets − current liabilities), the ROIC row’s definition; 15% is the framework’s return threshold. For a year whose 10-K financial data has no standard operating income figure, earnings before interest and taxes (pre-tax income plus interest expense) is used. Gross margin = gross profit / revenue. Both from each year’s 10-K via SEC EDGAR. Moat analysis commonly looks at whether returns and margins held up over many years. These figures don’t say whether the company has an advantage, what it is, or whether it will last.
Capital allocation, 2023-2026: dividends or buybacks paid in every year (pass); $7.14B paid out against $7.40B of free cash flow (pass); total debt $8.21B to $7.57B, down 7.8%, 2.4x EBITDA (pass: not up more than 10%); shares outstanding 0.50B to 0.42B, down 15.8% (pass). 4 of 4 tests passed; the framework scores that as 5.
Filings
Three kinds of event the company reported to the SEC in the last 5 years, from its filings on SEC EDGAR.
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These are events the company reported to the SEC. An auditor change or a late filing can have many causes; each date links to the filing, where the company explains it. Valerius does not score these.
Graham Formula:
IV = EPS x (8.5 + 2g) x (4.4 / Y)
EPS = $3.84, g = 10.8%, Y = 4.5
IV = $113.02
Current price $57.22 vs Graham value $113.02 — price is 49.4% below the model value.
DCF:
FCF/share = $2.522
Stage 1 growth = 10.7% for 5 years | terminal growth = 3.0% | discount rate = 10.0%
Y1: $2.791 → PV $2.538
Y2: $3.090 → PV $2.554
Y3: $3.421 → PV $2.570
Y4: $3.787 → PV $2.586
Y5: $4.192 → PV $2.603
Stage 1 PV sum = $12.85
Terminal value at end of Y5 = $61.68
PV of terminal value = $38.30
DCF value = $51.15
Current price $57.22 vs DCF value $51.15 — price is 11.9% above the model value.Data from yfinance summary figures and financial statements, and from the company’s 10-K filings via SEC EDGAR; computed at a price of $57.22. Every score is calculated from the figures by the framework’s fixed rules, and the explanation beside it is generated from the same figures: Graham value, DCF value, margin of safety, ROIC, profit margins, debt-to-equity, price-to-book, EPS trend, ROE trend, free cash flow, retained earnings and capital allocation. No AI is involved in this scorecard. The moat is shown as evidence, without a score. Read each score with the figures beside it. Intrinsic value calculations are model outputs based on stated assumptions, not predictions.
Recent headlines · third-party publishers · not investment advice
The 8 newest headlines whose title names the company, shown automatically and never chosen by Valerius. From third-party publishers via Yahoo Finance, linked to the source. Valerius doesn't write or endorse them. Not investment advice.