KMI Value Scorecard - Kinder Morgan

Value Scorecard · run 2026-10-18

13 value checks: 12 scored 1 to 5, plus moat evidence

35/60

low-moderate value score

Earnings & returns

EPS Trend

4/5

Diluted EPS: $1.12 (2022), $1.06 (2023), $1.17 (2024), $1.37 (2025). It rose every year but one and ended above 2022; the framework scores that as 4.

ROE Trend

2/5

ROE (net income / common equity): 8.2% (2022), 7.8% (2023), 8.5% (2024), 9.8% (2025). Median 8.4%, lowest 7.8%; the framework scores a median 5-10% as 2.

ROIC

2/5

ROIC of 6.9%: operating income of $4.72B divided by $68.43B of capital (total assets $72.75B minus current liabilities $4.32B), fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025, as filed in the 10-K (SEC EDGAR). The framework scores 5-10% as 2.

Profit Margins

4/5

Net margin of 19.3%; the framework scores 10-20% as 4; gross margin 49.4%, operating margin 30.1%.

Balance sheet & cash

Debt-to-Equity

3/5

Debt-to-equity of 0.99; the framework scores 0.8-1.5 as 3 (total debt $32.43B, total cash $91.00M).

Free Cash Flow

2/5

Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditure): $3.35B (2022), $4.17B (2023), $3.01B (2024), $2.89B (2025). It ended at or below 2022; the framework scores that as 2.

Retained Earnings

1/5

Retained earnings, as filed in the 10-Ks (SEC EDGAR): -$10.55B (2022), -$10.69B (2023), -$10.63B (2024), -$10.18B (2025). The latest balance is negative (an accumulated deficit); the framework scores that as 1.

Valuation models

Graham IV

5/5

IV = EPS x (8.5 + 2g) x (4.4 / Y) = $1.55 x (8.5 + 2 x 13.7) x (4.4 / 4.5) = $54.41. Current price $34.20; price is 37.1% below the model value.

DCF Value

1/5

FCF/share = $0.483, stage 1 growth = 5.1% for 5 years, terminal growth = 3%, discount rate = 10%. Stage 1 PV = $2.11, PV of terminal value = $5.66, DCF value = $7.77. Current price $34.20; price is 340.0% above the model value.

Margin of Safety

3/5

Graham value $54.41 (price is 37.1% below the model value); DCF value $7.77 (price is 340.0% above the model value).

Price-to-Book

3/5

P/B of 2.41; the framework scores 1.5-3.0 as 3.

Business quality

Moat Evidence

Not scored

A moat (a brand, a network, switching costs, patents, scale, a licence) is not a number in the filings, so Valerius doesn’t score it. Below are the figures and the words moat analysis starts from, from the company’s own 10-K filings. The conclusion is yours.

Return on capital, each year

Above 15% in 0 of 10 years (2016-2025); lowest 2.3%, highest 7.1%.

Gross margin, each year

Between 48.9% and 74.8% over 7 years (a range of 25.9 points).

Competition, in the company’s own words · 10-K filed Feb 13, 2026

The latest 10-K has no section headed “Competition” that could be quoted. Open the filing to read how the company describes its markets.

Return on capital = operating income / (total assets − current liabilities), the ROIC row’s definition; 15% is the framework’s return threshold. Gross margin = gross profit / revenue. Both from each year’s 10-K via SEC EDGAR. Moat analysis commonly looks at whether returns and margins held up over many years. These figures don’t say whether the company has an advantage, what it is, or whether it will last.

Capital Allocation

5/5

Capital allocation, 2022-2025: dividends or buybacks paid in every year (pass); $11.09B paid out against $13.42B of free cash flow (pass); total debt $31.57B to $31.78B, up 0.7%, 4.4x EBITDA (pass: not up more than 10%); shares outstanding 2.25B to 2.22B, down 1.0% (pass). 4 of 4 tests passed; the framework scores that as 5.

Filings

Company notices to the SEC

Not scored

Three kinds of event the company reported to the SEC in the last 5 years, from its filings on SEC EDGAR.

These are events the company reported to the SEC. An auditor change or a late filing can have many causes; each date links to the filing, where the company explains it. Valerius does not score these.

How the Graham and DCF values were calculated

  Graham Formula:
    IV = EPS x (8.5 + 2g) x (4.4 / Y)
    EPS = $1.55, g = 13.7%, Y = 4.5
    IV = $54.41
    Current price $34.20 vs Graham value $54.41 — price is 37.1% below the model value.

  DCF:
    FCF/share = $0.483
    Stage 1 growth = 5.1% for 5 years | terminal growth = 3.0% | discount rate = 10.0%
      Y1: $0.508 → PV $0.462
      Y2: $0.534 → PV $0.441
      Y3: $0.561 → PV $0.421
      Y4: $0.590 → PV $0.403
      Y5: $0.620 → PV $0.385
    Stage 1 PV sum = $2.11
    Terminal value at end of Y5 = $9.12
    PV of terminal value = $5.66
    DCF value = $7.77
    Current price $34.20 vs DCF value $7.77 — price is 340.0% above the model value.

Data from yfinance summary figures and financial statements, and from the company’s 10-K filings via SEC EDGAR; computed at a price of $34.20. Every score is calculated from the figures by the framework’s fixed rules, and the explanation beside it is generated from the same figures: Graham value, DCF value, margin of safety, ROIC, profit margins, debt-to-equity, price-to-book, EPS trend, ROE trend, free cash flow, retained earnings and capital allocation. No AI is involved in this scorecard. The moat is shown as evidence, without a score. Read each score with the figures beside it. Intrinsic value calculations are model outputs based on stated assumptions, not predictions.

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