LYB · LyondellBasell

11 of the 12 checks that carry a score were scored from the data available. 1 could not be scored (Margin of Safety) and was left out, so the score is out of 55 instead of 60. The label uses the same share of the available points as for a full scorecard. The moat is shown as evidence from the filings, without a score.

  Graham Formula:
    Trailing EPS -$0.83 — formula requires positive trailing EPS, no value computed.

  DCF:
    FCF/share = $3.801
    Stage 1 growth = 0.0% for 5 years | terminal growth = 3.0% | discount rate = 10.0%
    Stage 1 g floored at 0.0% (3-year revenue CAGR was -4.9%; the company is valued as if it does not grow rather than extrapolating the decline)
      Y1: $3.801 → PV $3.456
      Y2: $3.801 → PV $3.142
      Y3: $3.801 → PV $2.856
      Y4: $3.801 → PV $2.596
      Y5: $3.801 → PV $2.360
    Stage 1 PV sum = $14.41
    Terminal value at end of Y5 = $55.94
    PV of terminal value = $34.73
    DCF value = $49.14
    Current price $64.01 vs DCF value $49.14 — price is 30.3% above the model value.

Data from yfinance summary figures and financial statements, and from the company’s 10-K filings via SEC EDGAR; computed at a price of $64.01. Every score is calculated from the figures by the framework’s fixed rules, and the explanation beside it is generated from the same figures: Graham value, DCF value, margin of safety, ROIC, profit margins, debt-to-equity, price-to-book, EPS trend, ROE trend, free cash flow, retained earnings and capital allocation. No AI is involved in this scorecard. The moat is shown as evidence, without a score. Read each score with the figures beside it. A check that cannot be scored from the available data is shown as not scored and left out of the composite score. Intrinsic value calculations are model outputs based on stated assumptions, not predictions.