Price · last 3 months · daily close
RL price
Loading the price chart...
Daily closing prices via yfinance. Quotes are delayed. Past prices are not a guarantee of future results.
ValeriusBeta - Not investment advice
Research · S&P 500 · Consumer Discretionary
The numbers, the scorecard and what analysts say, with the source for each. Information, not advice.
Price · last 3 months · daily close
Loading the price chart...
Daily closing prices via yfinance. Quotes are delayed. Past prices are not a guarantee of future results.
Value Scorecard · run 2026-10-18
Earnings & returns
Diluted EPS: $7.58 (2023), $9.71 (2024), $11.61 (2025), $15.11 (2026). It rose every year; the framework scores that as 5.
ROE (net income / common equity): 21.5% (2023), 26.4% (2024), 28.7% (2025), 33.1% (2026). Median 27.5%, lowest 21.5%; the framework scores a median above 20% as 5.
ROIC of 19.9%: operating income of $1.18B divided by $5.91B of capital (total assets $7.74B minus current liabilities $1.83B), fiscal year to Mar 28, 2026, as filed in the 10-K (SEC EDGAR). The framework scores 15-20% as 4.
Net margin of 11.8%; the framework scores 10-20% as 4; gross margin 70.3%, operating margin 18.4%.
Balance sheet & cash
Debt-to-equity of 1.10; the framework scores 0.8-1.5 as 3 (total debt $3.00B, total cash $1.94B).
Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditure): $193.50M (2023), $904.90M (2024), $1.02B (2025), $704.90M (2026). It rose every year but one and ended above 2023; the framework scores that as 4.
Retained earnings, as filed in the 10-Ks (SEC EDGAR): $6.60B (2023), $7.05B (2024), $7.59B (2025), $8.31B (2026). It rose every year; the framework scores that as 5.
Valuation models
IV = EPS x (8.5 + 2g) x (4.4 / Y) = $15.87 x (8.5 + 2 x 20.0) x (4.4 / 4.5) = $752.59 (EPS CAGR 24.7% capped at 20%). Current price $385.50; price is 48.8% below the model value.
FCF/share = $23.344, stage 1 growth = 10.6% for 5 years, terminal growth = 3%, discount rate = 10%. Stage 1 PV = $118.64, PV of terminal value = $352.96, DCF value = $471.60. Current price $385.50; price is 18.3% below the model value.
Graham value $752.59 (price is 48.8% below the model value); DCF value $471.60 (price is 18.3% below the model value).
P/B of 8.44; the framework scores above 5.0 as 1.
Business quality
A moat (a brand, a network, switching costs, patents, scale, a licence) is not a number in the filings, so Valerius doesn’t score it. Below are the figures and the words moat analysis starts from, from the company’s own 10-K filings. The conclusion is yours.
Return on capital, each year
Above 15% in 2 of 10 years (2017-2026); lowest -2.1%, highest 19.9%.
Gross margin, each year
Between 54.9% and 69.9% over 10 years (a range of 15.0 points).
Competition, in the company’s own words · 10-K filed May 21, 2026
Competition is very strong in the segments of the fashion and consumer product industries in which we operate. We compete with an extensive range of designers and manufacturers of apparel, handbags, footwear, accessories, fragrances, and home products, both domestic and international. We also face increasing competition from companies selling our product categories solely through the Internet. Some of our competitors may be significantly larger and have substantially greater resources than us.
The opening of the company’s “Competition” section in its 10-K, quoted word for word, not summarized or edited. It is the company’s own description, not Valerius’s view, and may include the company’s expectations. Open the filing.
Return on capital = operating income / (total assets − current liabilities), the ROIC row’s definition; 15% is the framework’s return threshold. Gross margin = gross profit / revenue. Both from each year’s 10-K via SEC EDGAR. Moat analysis commonly looks at whether returns and margins held up over many years. These figures don’t say whether the company has an advantage, what it is, or whether it will last.
Capital allocation, 2023-2026: dividends or buybacks paid in every year (pass); $2.85B paid out against $2.82B of free cash flow (fail: paid out more than free cash flow); total debt $2.88B to $3.01B, up 4.4%, 2.1x EBITDA (pass: not up more than 10%); shares outstanding 0.07B to 0.06B, down 8.5% (pass). 3 of 4 tests passed; the framework scores that as 4.
Filings
Three kinds of event the company reported to the SEC in the last 5 years, from its filings on SEC EDGAR.
Loading...
These are events the company reported to the SEC. An auditor change or a late filing can have many causes; each date links to the filing, where the company explains it. Valerius does not score these.
Graham Formula:
IV = EPS x (8.5 + 2g) x (4.4 / Y)
EPS = $15.87, g = 20.0%, Y = 4.5
g capped at 20.0% (3-year EPS CAGR was 24.7%)
IV = $752.59
Current price $385.50 vs Graham value $752.59 — price is 48.8% below the model value.
DCF:
FCF/share = $23.344
Stage 1 growth = 10.6% for 5 years | terminal growth = 3.0% | discount rate = 10.0%
Y1: $25.818 → PV $23.471
Y2: $28.555 → PV $23.599
Y3: $31.582 → PV $23.728
Y4: $34.930 → PV $23.857
Y5: $38.632 → PV $23.988
Stage 1 PV sum = $118.64
Terminal value at end of Y5 = $568.44
PV of terminal value = $352.96
DCF value = $471.60
Current price $385.50 vs DCF value $471.60 — price is 18.3% below the model value.Data from yfinance summary figures and financial statements, and from the company’s 10-K filings via SEC EDGAR; computed at a price of $385.50. Every score is calculated from the figures by the framework’s fixed rules, and the explanation beside it is generated from the same figures: Graham value, DCF value, margin of safety, ROIC, profit margins, debt-to-equity, price-to-book, EPS trend, ROE trend, free cash flow, retained earnings and capital allocation. No AI is involved in this scorecard. The moat is shown as evidence, without a score. Read each score with the figures beside it. Intrinsic value calculations are model outputs based on stated assumptions, not predictions.
Recent headlines · third-party publishers · not investment advice
The 8 newest headlines whose title names the company, shown automatically and never chosen by Valerius. From third-party publishers via Yahoo Finance, linked to the source. Valerius doesn't write or endorse them. Not investment advice.